Nothing changed in the portfolio this week. It went in holding one commodities fund with no stocks beside it and came out the same way, so most of what follows is about what that fund did and what I make of sitting in it.
The scorecard
The trend:
By period:
Everything in the scorecard is my own money, live since January 12, 2026, tracked by Dub, a third-party platform anyone can open. On Dub the strategy runs the hard way, without stop losses or exact timing on the Monday open, with fees on top, and I treat it as the source of truth anyway, because it's a record I can't touch.
Verify every trade on Dub
Learn more about the system
Read the backtest details
What happened this week
The check I ran before Monday's open came back the same as the week before, with conditions still against stocks, so the whole portfolio stayed in one commodities fund. I didn't have a view on how the week would go. The fund isn't cash, and in testing it finished lower in about four of every ten weeks it was held, so I was ready for either result.
This wasn't one of those weeks. The fund slipped about half a percent on Monday while the market rose, was back above its starting point by Tuesday, and made most of its gain on Thursday, a day when stocks fell, before closing at +1.6%, against the market's +1.0%. There was nothing for me to do in between, and I did nothing.
The whole result is the fund, which moves on commodity prices, and this week those went their own way, which is why Monday and Thursday both ran opposite to the market.
I finished ahead of the market in a week I held no stocks, and I don't take credit for it. The system left stocks because conditions were against them, and a fixed rule picks the fund it holds in the meantime, so nothing in that was a forecast of a good week for commodities, and I didn't have one either. I'd have been just as comfortable with the decision if the fund had lost a percent. In testing there were plenty of weeks when the stocks it had stepped out of beat the fund, and I expect to be writing about one of those at some point.
It was also the portfolio's best week since the middle of August, after six in a row that closed within about a percent of flat. Over the month, the market is still ahead of me.
The record on Dub turns nine months old on Monday. It reads $62,781 from the $30,000 it started with, +$989 for the week, counted from Monday's open.
Next Monday
I don't know how long the portfolio stays in the fund. In testing, stretches like this ran anywhere from one week to eight, and with no minimum stay the stocks come back on the first Monday conditions allow. The scoring runs every week either way, after strong stretches and weak ones, so a ranked list of stocks is always ready behind the fund.
Paid subscribers get Monday's portfolio before the open, the fund again or a full list of stocks, every position with its weight and its stop, and it's the same one I place with my own money that morning. That's the part to act on. Everything above stays free, along with the record on Dub.
If Lionshare is useful to you, a like or a restack makes a big difference to me.